President Donald Trump and his top aides have decided that a large military operation to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could make the war with Iran last much longer than the planned four to six weeks, according to The Kobeissi Letter.
Instead, U.S. officials say the focus should be on weakening Iran’s navy and missile stockpiles before reducing active fighting. Trump is reportedly looking to use diplomatic pressure to convince Iran to reopen trade routes through the Gulf. If diplomacy fails, the U.S. may ask European and Gulf countries to take the lead in reopening the important waterway.
After the news, U.S. stock futures rose. But even if fighting ends, the Strait of Hormuz could stay closed. Oil prices have gone over $102 per barrel, and shipping insurance costs have tripled since March. Experts warn that stopping the war won’t automatically restore oil flow, keeping supply chains and shipping rates under pressure.
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Indirect talks between the U.S. and Iran are continuing, with Pakistan helping as a mediator. Iran has listed five conditions for a ceasefire, including stopping attacks and paying for damages. The U.S. offered 15 demands, which Iran rejected as “illogical.”
Trump’s plan seems aimed at claiming success in the Gulf, even if the overall war is not fully won.