Pakistan’s 2025 floods expose climate vulnerability and cross-border water risks
Pakistan’s 2025 floods expose climate vulnerability and cross-border water risks
Pakistan’s 2025 floods expose climate vulnerability and cross-border water risks
Ghania Imtiaz: Climate change is no longer a looming threat—it is already reshaping lives, economies, and landscapes across the world. Pakistan is ranked among the top ten most climate-vulnerable countries despite contributing less than 1% to global greenhouse gas emissions.

A third of the country was submerged in the devastating 2022 floods, and with it, over 33 million people were displaced. This is now seen as one of the clearest examples of how global warming is fueling disaster. Scientists have linked the unprecedented rainfall and glacier melt to climate change, warning that such events will grow more frequent and more destructive. In 2023 and 2024, erratic monsoon patterns and heatwaves continued to disrupt agriculture and public health, underscoring that the crisis is not distant—it is unfolding in real time. And now, the 2025 floods stand as a stark example of the calamity and disaster that is befalling Pakistan.

This summer, an unusually early monsoon tapped moist air from the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea, triggering successive cloudbursts over northern Pakistan. In short, what was once a distant threat is now a present reality—and it is taking a deadly toll.

Since late June, relentless rains have swollen rivers and caused flash floods across Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and Punjab. By late August, Pakistan’s National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) reported at least 788 deaths from the storms—including 200 children—with over 400 killed in KP alone. 

 

Mountain districts like Swat and Buner were especially hard-hit: villagers say sudden cloudbursts “happened in seconds,” sweeping away homes and lives without warning. In Punjab, torrential floods along the Ravi, Sutlej, and other rivers prompted massive evacuations. Authorities moved tens of thousands pre-emptively (for example, 14,000 from Kasur and 89,000 from Bahawalnagar), and by late August, over one million people had been relocated from threatened areas.

These scenes echo the 2022 floods, when even heavier monsoon rains killed about 1,700 people and affected over 33 million Pakistanis. That year’s deluge caused more than $30 billion in damages; reconstruction was estimated at roughly $16.3 billion. Pakistan’s share of global carbon emissions is under 1%, yet it ranks among the world’s 10 most climate-vulnerable countries. Experts now warn that such floods are no longer “rare disasters” but a grim new normal for a nation with weak infrastructure and rapidly melting glaciers.

Pakistan’s plight is part of a broader trend of extreme flooding worldwide. For example, torrential rains in Nigeria this year killed at least 151 people and displaced thousands. In India and Bangladesh, monsoon downpours and landslides claimed dozens of lives; thousands of tourists in India’s Sikkim region had to be airlifted to safety. Even Europe saw historic floods: central Romania rerouted streams and evacuated villages near a salt mine during one of its worst floods in 30 years. These parallel disasters—from Africa to Asia and Europe—underscore that climate change is fueling deadly floods globally.

Experts stress that Pakistan must urgently shift from relief to resilience. In practice, this means a mix of “nature-based” and infrastructural solutions. For example, restoring wetlands, mangroves and floodplains can act as natural sponges to absorb excess water. Strict land-use planning is needed to stop illegal construction on riverbanks and floodways. Pre-monsoon preparations – like clearing drains and river channels – combined with early warning systems and community shelters can save lives when floods strike.

The government has vowed to remove encroachments on riverbeds and has begun planning climate-resilient water infrastructure. International experts also urge investing in flood-resistant roads, bridges and homes, as well as crop insurance and aid for vulnerable farmers.

  • Protect and reforest wetlands and floodplains to slow run-off and reduce flood peaks.
  • Keep canals, nullahs and riverbanks clear by removing illegal settlements and deforestation.
  • Build stronger flood defenses (embankments, levees) and flood-proof critical infrastructure (roads, bridges, schools).
  • Enhance weather forecasting and community alerts; clean drains before monsoon; set up evacuation plans and shelters.
  • Press for climate finance and global action, since Pakistan bears outsized flood losses yet emits <1% of greenhouse gases.

Also Read: Kalabagh Dam: A national dream or a provincial nightmare?

These measures echo recommendations from analysts: for instance, rebuilding after 2022 was not enough without adaptation – experts noted that “nature based solutions” and better urban planning are key to reducing future impacts. As one adaptation specialist put it, Pakistan still has a “window of opportunity” to use scientific and smart strategies to mitigate much of the devastation.

Pakistan’s devastating floods are a stark warning: climate change is no longer a distant threat but a current reality. Even now, communities are scrambling to rebuild and brace for the next storm.